Raghavan Jagannathan, editorial director of Swarajya, have raised a very pertinent vision in his write-up in Times titled, "China Takes A Hand". He categorically mentioned the important points that have been the binding reasons for the huge rise in violence in the valley.
First, the Pakistani approach to Kashmir has changed from one of mindless terrorism against civilian and soft targets to symbols of state power the army and central and state police forces. This is what explains the targeting of air force and army bases in Pathankot and Uri, not to speak of efforts to intimidate J&K Police by targeting their families at home.J&K Police are now a frightened lot.
Second, this time the war has an information component that is as lethal as stones, grenades and AK-47s. This is why we are being inundated with videos purporting to show Indian army or police forces beating up Kashmiris or tying them on top of vehicles to negotiate a stone pelting crowd. These propaganda tactics are intended to destroy the will of the Indian state to fight while, at the same time, ensuring the alienation of local citizenry.
The information war also has a secondary political motive, which is to set the so-called liberal elite, never positively inclined to the Modi government, against the latter's policies in J&K, by focusing the narrative on human rights violations real, imagined or manufactured.
The brazen Pakistani threat to execute a captured former Indian naval officer, Kulbhushan Jadhav, after a sham trial, is of a piece with this information war. It is intended to pile on the pressure and distract the government from ensuring that the Valley is safe and peaceful.
If Jadhav is executed one can expect the current consensus inside India to evaporate, as opposition politicians will surely accuse the government of mishandling this case. Which is what Pakistan wants a divided political class in India, unsure about its aims in J&K.This disarray in the Indian intelligentsia suits Chinese objectives too.
Third, China may not be overtly keen to promote Pakistan-based jihadis who may well end up becoming a headache in its own Xinjiang province, where the Muslim Uighurs are restive. But one thing is certain: it appears to have decided to prop up the Pakistani deep state, both to further its own economic interests, and as a way of containing India.
Chinese pressure on Pakistan to declare Gilgit-Baltistan as its fifth province is key to legalising its highway to Gwadar, which passes through this area.China has decided that a strong Pakistan is in its interests and this has negative consequences for India, especially in terms of Pakistan's Kashmir policy .
Fourth, the US is distracted and Russia, a former staunch India ally , has neatly fallen into the Chinese camp, thanks to the foolish US attempts to sanction Vladimir Putin over his ambitions in Syria, Ukraine and Crimea. The Donald Trump administration, widely expected to be tougher on terrorism, has fallen back on Obama-era policies of bombing Syria and alienating Russia and China even further. So, the China-Pakistan nexus can soon become a China-Russia-Pakistan nexus, hugely negative for India. Russia has only arms to offer by way of economic support, and soon these could be offered to Pakistan.
Fifth, there is a new domestic variable this time. Unlike in the past, when J&K always had Kashmiri politicians running the state, this time BJP has ensured that Jammu is part of the power structure, thanks to its huge representation in terms of MLAs from this region.Politically this is sharpening the HinduMuslim divide in the state since it is presumed that it was the Hindus who put BJP in power in Srinagar along with PDP, which won big in the Valley. This Hindu-Muslim factor is sharpening the edge of Islamist militancy in the Valley.
In a sense, today's crisis in the Valley has been enhanced by a democratic verdict in 2014. It is not going to be easy to disentangle this knot. The right way to go about restoring peace in the Valley is to impose a short spell of Governor's rule, allow the armed forces to restore some semblance of peace in the Valley, and then restart the political dialogue process for a greater devolution of power, but one that does not concentrate it in Srinagar, but distributes it between Srinagar, Jammu and Ladakh.
IMQ is seriously concerned about the growing unrest and violence that is fast spreading to different parts and among the educational institutes. Alien forces led by enemy Pakistan have gathered open support from China, who are worried on their strategic project "Encircle India" by completing China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and obtaining crucial land access to Gwadar port in Balochistan.
In 2016 Mebooba Mufti took over after a brief hitch and everything ran smooth for next few months till the incident of killing of Burhan Wani. This incident was one incident that was smartly used by Pakistani elements to raise their venomous hatred against Indian forces and the Mehbooba government.
Soon these alien forces led by Pakistan-China joint action plan overtook the matter in their hand and the violence spread in all the four districts of the valley.Dragon's objective was clear, avoid Indian claim on Pok-Baltistan where the CPEC has to pass, by keeping them engaged in Kashmir unrest.
Now the situation has fast deteriorated courtsey fuelling of fire by the media and few political leaders of prominent political parties including Congress, National Conference and CPM, whose loyalty clearly lies with China.
Social Media readers have a lot of vision and energy to visualise the present deteriorating condition in Kashmir and work on suitable ways to restore normalcy. The task is clear-cut but difficult. We must start neutralising first the anti-nation forces, be it the presstitute media or the political leaders.
Media can be forcefully blacked out and leders must be cautioned to keep their mouth shut by protesting on all the avenues available including street. Next interacive communication channels should be opened where the Kashmiri youth is motivated to go with nation for their higher studies and development avenues and winning the trust of innocent Kashmiri youth there who are misguided by these anti-India forces under a malicious plan to run down India.
Soon these alien forces led by Pakistan-China joint action plan overtook the matter in their hand and the violence spread in all the four districts of the valley.Dragon's objective was clear, avoid Indian claim on Pok-Baltistan where the CPEC has to pass, by keeping them engaged in Kashmir unrest.
Now the situation has fast deteriorated courtsey fuelling of fire by the media and few political leaders of prominent political parties including Congress, National Conference and CPM, whose loyalty clearly lies with China.
Social Media readers have a lot of vision and energy to visualise the present deteriorating condition in Kashmir and work on suitable ways to restore normalcy. The task is clear-cut but difficult. We must start neutralising first the anti-nation forces, be it the presstitute media or the political leaders.
Media can be forcefully blacked out and leders must be cautioned to keep their mouth shut by protesting on all the avenues available including street. Next interacive communication channels should be opened where the Kashmiri youth is motivated to go with nation for their higher studies and development avenues and winning the trust of innocent Kashmiri youth there who are misguided by these anti-India forces under a malicious plan to run down India.